The Future According to Unfinished Experts

 

The future people have made up all sorts of crazy theories about the world in the coming years. They’ve decided that it will be flat and that Mars will be conquered or that the sun will be created. They’ve even said that the “last 12 months” will be the same as the last 13 years. All of these predictions are just a bunch of nonsense, but the people who make them still make them.

There are a lot of people who make these sorts of predictions, and you can tell them they are all true because it is very hard to look at the world around you and say with any certainty that they are not. But it is also hard to know what their prediction is true, even if you could.

In the past, we would have been able to predict the future using our knowledge of the past.

The scientific method is still the best way to determine the present state of the world. Unfortunately, our knowledge of the past is so limited that we cannot even accurately predict the future. However, we can make some educated guesses about the future.

This is where the scientific method has failed us.

Our current best guess of the future is based on the scientific method, not the scientific method. But that cannot be accurate. We can’t really say with any certainty what will happen. We can still make educated guesses and do the best we can to make the best predictions based on our knowledge about the past. But we cannot make any reliable predictions of what will happen in the future because there is no past.

The problem with making predictions is that they are always wrong, and it’s the best we can do anyway.

Of course, there are exceptions to the rule, and sometimes we can make predictions that are just wildly right. But there are many, many examples of this, and very few of them are the ones we like to make. The past is full of terrible disasters that never happened. The past was full of people who were just as bad as the present day, but they didn't get as many people killed or killed more people. The past was full of horrible wars that never took place.

In the past, you had to have some pretty awesome experts to make predictions like this. As a result, the experts we do have are the ones that we really like to make predictions about. Of course, we can't always be right, but there's definitely a lot of value in being right about the future. When we talk about the future we can say, “well, it'll probably be this,” or “it'll probably be that.” Of course, we can't always predict the future, but we can do so much better than we ever have before.

A few weeks back we had an interview with Alex Blumberg, who is one of the founders of Unfinished Expert, a company that studies the future in an attempt to make better predictions. He took some time out of his day to talk with us about their project, what they actually do, and their predictions for the future. It turns out that they are not in the business of predicting the future, but rather analyzing it and making predictions.

Unfinished Expert does not look at the future like this as a science fiction movie.

They have a very real, very practical approach to the subject. They conduct experiments and create models using mathematical formulas that take into account all sorts of things, including “fear” and “suspicion.” We’re not sure what all they’re doing, but we’re excited about the possibilities.

Unfinished Expert is an organization that is trying to bring a new scientific approach to the issue of human potential. Its main project is to create a model that can help make better predictions of the future. In their own words, they are trying to create the “socially optimal” person. When you look at the model they have created, it seems to be very similar to a person with high intelligence but low self-awareness.

The main difference is that Unfinished Expert is not just trying to predict your future, they are trying to predict your present. If they are right, they think we will be better informed about our future than we would be if we were just informed about the past, so they are using the future to reveal the current state of our intelligence.